Startups, venture, etc

Hi, I'm Santosh.

People call me Tosh.
Now

Venture underwriting treats billion-dollar exits as the norm. A billion-dollar private valuation and a billion-dollar exit are not the same outcome, and the industry keeps pricing them as if they are.

Aug 2026
Writing
Startups
Ignore the Bad Advice on Investor Updates
Founders are being told to only send investor updates when they're winning. That's bad advice and AI makes it easier to ignore it.
Firm Building
Carry On
Two weeks into Carry On: what we've learned about tighter episodes, real disagreement, and building in public.
Field Notes
AI Is Wiring Systemic Risk Across Asset Classes
This is what systemic risk looks like before it becomes a crisis. Not a single catastrophic event. A local shock that propagates
Monday Meditations
Portfolio Envy is a Confidence Tax
Portfolio envy doesn't just sting. It pulls GPs toward consensus and away from conviction. Someone else's markups say nothing about your portfolio or your ability as a picker.
VC
Venture is Optimizing for the Wrong Thing
Venture capital’s incentive structure has quietly shifted from building durable businesses to generating markups fast enough to raise the next fund.
Stay in the loop
Get new writing
in your inbox.
No cadence, no agenda. Just when I have something worth saying.
βœ“
You're in β€” check your inbox to confirm.
Something went wrong β€” please try again.
Let's
connect.